WorkPackage 6: Basin-scale
Integrative Modelling

- Objectives - Deliverables - Model output - Publications -

Leaders: Icarus Allen (PML) & Laurent Memery (CNRS)
Contributors: Hamburg Un.; NERC; IMR; CLS; IMS-METU

Objectives:
The goal of this workpackage is to describe, understand and predict the impact of climate change and variability and mans activity (fisheries) on marine ecosystem structure and function in the North Atlantic Ocean and shelf seas. To achieve this we will take a basin-scale modelling approach, simulating the response of marine ecosystems by considering four classes of experiment using coupled physcal-biogeochemical-MTL models: re-analysis forced simulations, climate-scenario forced simulations, top down control perturbation experiments and a fully coupled end to end ecosystem model.

The integrative modelling will also cContribute to an assembly of key species and ecosystem indicators for synthesis in WP8 Advancing Ocean Management.

 

WP6 Deliverables:

D6.1) Initial conditions, boundary conditions and forcing functions: [Month 6 - June 2011]

D6.2) CMIP5 climate forcing 2000-2040: [Month 17 - May 2012]
Access to both D6.1 and D6.2 is via ftp (contact Laurent Memery for details)

D6.3) Ensemble of hindcasts of basin-scale ecosystem (1/4 degree 1960-2005) and (1/12 deg 1980-2005): key variable which describe the carbon budget and are proxies for fisheries habitat [Month 30 - delivered Feb 2014; Responsible: M. Butenschon PML ]

D6.4) Report on major controls on the ecosystem and biogeochemical cycling at the basin-scale: [Month 35 - delivered Feb 2014; Responsible: C. Stegert, CNRS ]

D6.5) Report on role of biophysical interactions on basin-scale C and N budgets: [Month 35 - Delivered Jan 2014; Responsible: J. Harle, NOC ]

D6.6) Report on the role winter convection in controlling the basin-scale C budget:
[Month 35, Delivered Nov 2013]

D6.7) Ensemble of climate forced of basin-scale ecosystem simulations (2000-2040); key variable which describe the carbon budget and are proxies for fisheries habitat [Month 35 - Nov 2013, delayed to May 2014; Responsible: M. Butenschon PML ]

D6.8) Atlas of past & future changes in basin-scale biogeography & fisheries habitat based on model output: [Month 46 - Oct 2014]

D6.9) Report on the sensitivity of the planktonic ecosystem of the North Atlantic to climate changes, including changes in management strategies [Month 46 - Oct 2014]

 

Model Runs available for use by EURO-BASIN Collaborators :

  • ¼ global Hindcast NEMO-MEDUSA contact (Contact: Tom Anderson, NOC)
  • 1 degree climate forced simulation MEDUSA (Contact: Tom Anderson, NOC)
  • AMM NE European shelf Hindcast 1/10 degree POLCOMS_ERSEM (Contact: M.Butenschon, PML)
  • AMM NE European shelf climate forced timeslices.  1/10 degree POLCOMS_ERSEM (Contact: M.Butenschon, PML)
  • NEMO/PISCES (0.5°) simulations (Contact: Laurent Memery, UBO/CNRS)
  • global 1958-2011, using ad hoc forcing (ante DFS), a mixture of ERA dataset and satellite observations (Contact: LSCE, Paris or Project Office for information).

 

Publications:

Open Access PublicationsEURO-BASIN will publish 100% of its research via Open Access in support of Horizon 2020 policy on Open Science. The orange icon below provides open access to the postprint (after all peer-review corrections) and the DOI leads to the publisher's version (restricted access). Full list of EURO-BASIN Open Access Publications in OpenAIRE

Acheampong, E., Inga Hense, Michael A. St. John 2013. A model for the description of feeding regulation by mesozooplankton under different conditions of temperature and prey nutritional status, Ecological Modelling, Volume 272, 24 January 2014, Pages 84–97 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.09.009

Anderson Thomas R., Hessen Dag O., Mitra Aditee, Mayor Daniel J., Yool Andrew (2013). Sensitivity of secondary production and export flux to choice of trophic transfer formulation in marine ecosystem models. Journal Of Marine Systems, 125, 41-53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2012.09.008

Chust, G., J. Icarus Allen, L. Bopp, C. Schrum, J. Holt, K. Tsiaras, M. Zavatarelli, M. Chifflet, H. Cannaby, I. Dadou, U. Daewel, S. L. Wakelin, E. Machu, D. Pushpadas, M. Butenschon, Y. Artioli, G. Petihakis, C. Smith, V. Garçon, K. Goubanova, B. Le Vu, B. A. Fach, B. Salihoglu, E. Clementi, and X. Irigoien. 2014. Biomass changes and trophic amplification of plankton in a warmer ocean.
Global Change Biology (In press). DOI:10.1111/gcb.12562

Grosse, F., Lindemann, C., et al 2014. The influence of winter convection on primary production: A parameterisation using a hydrostatic three-dimensional biogeochemical model, Journal of Marine Systems, Available 11 July 2014, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2014.07.002

Open Access PublicationsLindemann, C. & M. St John, 2014. A seasonal diary of phytoplankton in the North Atlantic, Frontiers in Marine Science, Aug 2014 DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2014.00037

Open Access PublicationsYool A., Popova E. E., Anderson T. R. (2013). MEDUSA-2.0: an intermediate complexity biogeochemical model of the marine carbon cycle for climate change and ocean acidification studies. Geoscientific Model Development, 6(5), 1767-1811. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-1767-2013

Open Access PublicationsYool, A., Popova, E. E., Coward, A. C., Bernie, D., & Anderson, T. R. 2013. Climate change and ocean acidification impacts on lower trophic levels and the export of organic carbon to the deep ocean, Biogeosc. Discuss., 10, 3455-3522, doi:10.5194/bgd-10-3455-2013

 

 

WP6 Basin-scale Integrative Modelling
is represented on the Scientific Steering Committee by:

Laurent MemeryIcarus Allen
Plymouth Marine Laboratory,
UK

jia(a)pml.ac.uk

+44 1752 633100

 

The Workpackage is also co-lead by:

Laurent Memery
Laurent Memery
CNRS, France

laurent.memery(a)univ-brest.fr

+33 2 98 49 88 97

Research WorkPackages (WP) & Focus:

WP Focus Leader
WP1 Data Integration Un. Bremen
WP2 Carbon Pump NOC;CNRS-UBO
WP3 Key Species IMR;Un. Nordland
WP4 Trophic Flow HAFRO;Un.Swansea
WP5 Living Resources IFREMER; DTU
WP6 Basin-scale Modelling PML;CNRS-UBO
WP7 Bioeconomic Modelling PML;UEA;IRD
WP8 Ocean Management DTU;Un. Hamburg

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