WorkPackage 7: Bioeconomic modelling
of North Atlantic fish resources

- Objectives - Deliverables - Publications -

Leaders: Manuel Barange (PML); Christian Mullon (IRD);
Contributors: William Chung (Un. British Columbia), John PInnegar (CEFAS)

The overall objective of WP7 is to “assess the impacts of Global Environmental Change (GEC), including climate change, fisheries management and market developments, on the productivity, dynamics and services of North Atlantic-wide Fish commodities.

Specifically we will:
• Estimate the economic cost of sub-optimal fisheries management (hindcast)

• Predict the distribution and production of key fish stocks based on climate change projections.

• Develop and apply a bio-economic model of fish commodities in the North Atlantic

• Investigate the consequences of climate change and economic globalisation on the basin-wide fish production system

• Contribute to an assembly of key species and ecosystem indicators for synthesis in WP8 Advancing Ocean Management


WP7 Deliverables:

D7.1) Hindcast estimation of potential and net economic benefits of N. Atlantic fisheries:
[delivered Oct 2013; Resp.: Gorka Merino] full report is confidential, contact authors

D7.2) Scenarios for economic vs ecological optimisation in the future use of N. Atlantic fisheries: [delivered Oct 2013; Resp.: Gorka Merino] full report is confidential, contact authors

D7.3) Report on exploitation and management scenario workshop:
[delivered Oct 2013; Resp.: Christian Mullon] full report is confidential, contact authors

D7.4) Projected future changes in maximum catch potential of key fish populations:
[Month 24 - Dec 2012; R
esp.: Jose Fernandez]

D7.5) A simulation model that account for trophic interaction in predicting distribution of exploited fish: incl. shelfish populations [Month 24 - Dec 2012; Resp.: Jose Fernandes, Simon Jennings]

D7.6) Scenario-based estimation of the consequences of climate change, resource use & economic development: [Month 35 - Nov 2013; Resp.: Christian Mullon, Gorka Merino] full report is confidential, contact authors

D7.7) A user-friendly integrated model allowing users to build their own scenarios & evaluate consequences: [Download Report & Manual; Month 35 - Nov 2013; Resp.: Christian Mullon]

D7.8) Proposals for basin-scale governance based on scenario evaluation with stakeholders: [Month 47 - Nov 2014; Resp.: Christian Mullon, Gorka Merino]


Open Access PublicationsEURO-BASIN will publish 100% of its research via Open Access in support of Horizon 2020 policy on Open Science. The orange icon below provides open access to the postprint (after all peer-review corrections) and the DOI leads to the publisher's version (restricted access). Full list of EURO-BASIN Open Access Publications in OpenAIRE

Open Access PublicationsFernandes, J. A.,et al.. 2013. Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12231

Open Access PublicationsJones MC, Dye SR, Fernandes JA, Frolicher TL, Pinnegar JK, et al. (2013) Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Threatened Species in UK Waters. PLoS ONE 8(1): e54216. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0054216

Open Access PublicationsMullon, C. 2013. Network Economics of Marine Ecosystems and their Exploitation, CRC Press Hardback, 306 pages ISBN 978-1-4665-9005-2, URL link



WP7 Bioeconomic Modelling of N.Atlantic
is represented on the Scientific Steering Committee by:

Webjoern MelleManuel Barange
Plymouth Marine Laboratory ,


+44 1752 633100


The Workpackage is also co-lead by:

Torkiel Gissel Nielsen
Christian Mullon
IRD, France


+33 2 38 63 17 08

Research WorkPackages (WP) & Focus:

WP Focus Leader
WP1 Data Integration Un. Bremen
WP2 Carbon Pump NOC;CNRS-UBO
WP3 Key Species IMR;Un. Nordland
WP4 Trophic Flow HAFRO;Un.Swansea
WP5 Living Resources IFREMER; DTU
WP6 Basin-scale Modelling PML;CNRS-UBO
WP7 Bioeconomic Modelling PML;UEA;IRD
WP8 Ocean Management DTU;Un. Hamburg

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